Determinan impor Indonesia

Andi Andini Adhalia, R. Rachmad, Rahma Nurjanah
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze: 1) The development of import values, inflation, exchange rates, FDI, and Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves for the period 1996-2017. 2) The influence of Indonesia's import determinants for the 1996-2017 period. In this study, the type of data used is secondary data based on the period 1996-2017. The method used in this research is descriptive analysis and quantitative analysis, namely multiple regression analysis. The results of this study indicate: 1) The average development of imports is 8.68% per year, the average inflation is 10.30% per year, the average development of the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar is 11.17% per year, the average development FDI is 5.66% per year, and the average development of foreign exchange reserves is 11.83% per year. 2) Simultaneously or together inflation, exchange rate, FDI, and foreign exchange reserves have a positive and significant impact on Indonesian imports. Partially, inflation has a positive and significant effect on Indonesian imports, the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on Indonesian imports, FDI has a positive but not significant effect on Indonesian imports, and foreign exchange reserves have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian imports. Keywords: Imports, Inflation, Exchange rates, Foreign direct investment, Foreign exchange reserves
决定进口印尼
本研究的目的是分析:1)1996-2017年期间进口价值、通货膨胀、汇率、外国直接投资和印度尼西亚外汇储备的发展。2) 1996-2017年期间印尼进口决定因素的影响。在本研究中,使用的数据类型是基于1996-2017年期间的二手数据。本研究使用的方法是描述性分析和定量分析,即多元回归分析。研究结果表明:1)进口平均发展为8.68% /年,通货膨胀平均为10.30% /年,印尼盾兑美元汇率平均发展为11.17% /年,外国直接投资平均发展为5.66% /年,外汇储备平均发展为11.83% /年。2)通货膨胀、汇率、FDI和外汇储备同时或共同对印尼进口产生积极且显著的影响。通货膨胀对印尼进口有正向显著影响,汇率对印尼进口有负向显著影响,外国直接投资对印尼进口有正向但不显著影响,外汇储备对印尼进口有正向显著影响。关键词:进口,通货膨胀,汇率,外国直接投资,外汇储备
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