Field Investigation of Solar Photovoltaic Modules Digression Against Manufacture's Claim and Application of Machine Learning Model in Life Prediction: A Case Study

K. Sameer, K. Haritha, N. Ramchander, B. Reddy, K. Rayudu, K. R. Reddy
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Abstract

Renewable energy is being produced through various resources, mostly natural and abundantly available, such as wind, solar, and geothermal. Solar PV technology is a novice alternate renewable energy system which is becoming popular during 21st century. In Solar Photovoltaic (SPV) power systems, the major component are polycrystalline PV modules which have a shelf-life of around 25 years, as claimed by most of the PV module producers. Most of the installations started 10 years ago and there is a need to investigate the ageing upshot or digression of PV modules. To this end, a seven-year-old large-scale PV plant is considered for case study. Field experiments are conducted to know the power output of these modules and the manufactures claim of 25 years life with indicated digression is validated with the field values. Also, machine learning technique is used to derive an empirical relation for the power output of age old PV modules. Finally, conclusions are drawn with respect to ageing upshot and life predictions of PV Modules.
太阳能光伏组件的现场调查:对制造商索赔的偏离及机器学习模型在寿命预测中的应用:一个案例研究
可再生能源是通过各种资源生产的,主要是天然的和丰富的资源,如风能、太阳能和地热能。太阳能光伏技术是21世纪兴起的一种新兴的可替代能源系统。在太阳能光伏(SPV)电力系统中,主要组件是多晶光伏组件,正如大多数光伏组件生产商所声称的那样,其保质期约为25年。大多数安装是在10年前开始的,有必要调查光伏组件的老化结果或偏离。为此,考虑了一个有7年历史的大型光伏电站作为案例研究。进行了现场实验,以了解这些模块的输出功率,并通过现场值验证了制造商声称的25年使用寿命。此外,利用机器学习技术推导出老旧光伏组件输出功率的经验关系。最后,对光伏组件的老化结果和寿命预测进行了总结。
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