Traffic Flow Prediction Using Spatiotemporal Analysis and Encoder-Decoder Network

Genxuan Hong, Zhanquan Wang, Fuchen Gao, Hengming Ji
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Abstract

Intelligent transportation is an important part of a smart city. Due to the traffic flow sequence has characteristics of periodicity, nonlinearity and easily affected by external factors, improving the accuracy of traffic flow prediction in traffic hub network is important research content of intelligent transportation. For traffic flow prediction problem, an end-to-end framework called DeepTFP is proposed. Specifically, extracting spatiotemporal characteristics of traffic flow data as input of the model through spatiotemporal analysis. Then, a cross-entropy loss function based on error updating for the encoder-decoder network is designed to generate traffic flow predictions, encoder using Bi-direction long-short term memory(BiLSTM), decoder using long-short term memory(LSTM). We conducted extensive experiments on real datasets. The experiment results show that DeepTFP outperforms the other traffic flow prediction methods in terms of prediction error.
基于时空分析和编解码器网络的交通流量预测
智能交通是智慧城市的重要组成部分。由于交通流序列具有周期性、非线性和易受外界因素影响的特点,提高交通枢纽网络中交通流预测的准确性是智能交通的重要研究内容。针对交通流预测问题,提出了一种端到端深度tfp框架。具体而言,通过时空分析提取交通流数据的时空特征作为模型的输入。然后,设计了基于误差更新的编码器-解码器网络的交叉熵损失函数来生成交通流量预测,编码器使用双向长短期记忆(BiLSTM),解码器使用长短期记忆(LSTM)。我们在真实的数据集上进行了大量的实验。实验结果表明,DeepTFP在预测误差方面优于其他交通流预测方法。
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