Factors contributing to fatal road traffic accidents in the South of Kerman during the period from 2013 to 2017, Iran

N. Nasiri, P. Nazari, A. Kamali, A. Sharifi, H. Sharifi
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Article Info Background: Several factors influence the growth in the number of road traffic accidents and the resulting death rate. Road accident scenarios can be considered in different seasons and time intervals. In the present study, the role of factors effective in the growth of the number of accidents was explored in the south of Kerman during the period from 2013 to 2017. Materials and Methods: In this cross-sectional study, the data were collected from the Traffic Police Unit’s database in the south of Kerman during the period from 2013 to 2017. The data obtained included the time of the day, roads of accidents, numbers of fatal accidents, and years of occurrence. The data were analysed using the logistic regression. Results: After examining the role of various factors in fatal road traffic accidents, it became clear that the chances of death were higher in road accidents on main roads (OR = 1.30; 95%CI=1.02-1.70; p=0.037) than on rural roads. In terms of the seasons of occurrence, death rates were higher in autumn (OR= 1.30; 95%CI=1.02-1.80; p=0.027) than in winter. From among the effective factors, overspeed (OR= 1.90; 95%CI=1.40-2.50; p<0.001) and deviation to the left lane (OR = 2.20; 95% CI = 1.70-2.90; p-value<0.001) were more likely to lead to death than drowsiness and inattention to the front. Conclusion: The results showed that overspeed, deviation to the left lane, as well as accidents on main roads, and in autumn resulted in an increase in the mortality rate. The severity of road accidents would probably decrease in the region by paying more attention to main roads especially in autumn and training drivers.
2013年至2017年期间,导致伊朗克尔曼南部致命道路交通事故的因素
背景:有几个因素影响道路交通事故数量的增长及其造成的死亡率。交通事故情景可以考虑在不同的季节和时间间隔。本研究以2013 - 2017年克尔曼南部地区为研究对象,探讨了影响事故数量增长的有效因素所起的作用。材料与方法:在这项横断面研究中,数据收集自2013年至2017年期间克尔曼南部交通警察部门的数据库。获得的数据包括一天中的时间、事故发生的道路、致命事故的数量和发生的年份。数据采用逻辑回归分析。结果:在考察了各种因素在致命道路交通事故中的作用后,明确了主要道路交通事故的死亡机会较高(OR = 1.30;95%可信区间= 1.02 - -1.70;P =0.037)。从发生季节来看,秋季死亡率较高(OR= 1.30;95%可信区间= 1.02 - -1.80;P =0.027)。在影响因素中,超速(OR= 1.90;95%可信区间= 1.40 - -2.50;p<0.001)和向左车道偏移(OR = 2.20;95% ci = 1.70-2.90;p值<0.001)比困倦和注意力不集中更容易导致死亡。结论:研究结果表明,超速、左偏、主干道交通事故和秋季交通事故是导致死亡率上升的主要原因。通过加强对主要道路的关注,特别是在秋季,并对驾驶员进行培训,可能会减少该地区交通事故的严重程度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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