Is Global Management of Anti-Global Warming Policies at All Feasible?

J. Lane
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Abstract

Climate and earth scientists now predicting abrupt climate change never ask the social sciences whether large scale policy-making and international coordination, like the COP21 project, is all feasible. The message from policy analysis is that rational decision-making is a myth, as there is bound to be mistakes, confusion and opportunism in policy implementation. Is it better for each state to develop its own climate policy – the resilience option? However, when looking at energy planning by core states, one finds little of decarbonisation. Only Uruguay has good preparation for global warming. Abrupt climate change threatens numerous tipping points towards Hawking irreversibility. But the social sciences are skeptical about large scale policy implementation based upon comprehensively rational decision-making.
反全球变暖政策的全球管理是否可行?
现在预测气候突变的气候和地球科学家从来没有问过社会科学,像COP21项目这样的大规模政策制定和国际协调是否都是可行的。从政策分析中得出的信息是,理性决策是一个神话,因为在政策实施中必然会出现错误、混乱和机会主义。每个州制定自己的气候政策(即弹性选项)是否更好?然而,当审视核心国家的能源规划时,人们发现脱碳很少。只有乌拉圭对全球变暖做好了准备。突然的气候变化威胁着霍金不可逆性的许多临界点。但社会科学对基于全面理性决策的大规模政策实施持怀疑态度。
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