Time series prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak in India using LSTM based deep learning models

Abstract

The epidemic caused by COVID-19 presents a significant risk to the continuation of human civilisation and has already done irreparable damage to society. In this paper, forecasting of Coronavirus outbreak in India is performed by LSTM and CovnLSTM deep neural network techniques. COVID-19 data of confirmed cases of India is used. It was taken from John Hopkins University. The loss rate of ConvLSTM is lower than LSTM and RMSE of ConvLSTM is lower than LSTM. For training Covn-LSTM shows 0.069% and testing ConvLSTM shows 0.32% improvement over LSTM model. Therefore, ConvLSTM outperformed over LSTM model. Further wise selection of hyper-parameters could increase the accuracy of the models.