CAPITAL MARKET INTEGRATION OF ASEAN-5 COUNTRIES : AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS

T. Jacob, Rincy Raphael, M.V. Stebiya
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The financial integration of South East Asian markets has been an important research topic. Due to the recent global developments in financial markets, the behaviours of these emerging markets are gaining much interest. This research paper empirically analyzes stock market integration of international portfolio diversification across the South East Asian countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test has been used to verify the static properties of the market return of ASEAN countries. An analysis of the co-integration among these countries' market return has been done using the Johansen Co-integration Approach. The co-movements between the ASEAN economies were analyzed through the Granger Causality test. The results of the Granger causality tests indicate the interdependence between ASEAN-5 market returns. This suggests a co-movement among ASEAN capital markets, but not all of these ASEAN capital markets were fully integrated. This study also found that the Malaysia Stock Exchange, the Stock Exchange of Thailand, the Singapore Stock Exchange and the Philippines Stock Exchange were fully integrated, but Indonesia Stock Exchange was not. Essentially, this study provides insight for policymakers, portfolio managers, domestic and international investors, risk analysts, and financial researchers to diversify their investment portfolios by combining assets from each ASEAN-5 country.
东盟五国资本市场一体化的实证分析
东南亚市场的金融一体化一直是一个重要的研究课题。由于最近全球金融市场的发展,这些新兴市场的行为引起了人们的极大兴趣。本文实证分析了东南亚国家(印度尼西亚、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡和泰国)国际投资组合多元化的股票市场整合情况。本文采用增广Dickey-Fuller单位根检验验证了东盟国家市场收益的静态特性。使用约翰森协整方法对这些国家的市场回报进行了协整分析。通过格兰杰因果检验分析了东盟经济体之间的协同运动。格兰杰因果检验的结果表明,东盟五国市场收益之间存在相互依存关系。这表明东盟资本市场之间的合作,但并非所有这些东盟资本市场都是完全一体化的。本研究还发现,马来西亚证券交易所、泰国证券交易所、新加坡证券交易所和菲律宾证券交易所是完全整合的,但印度尼西亚证券交易所不是。从本质上讲,本研究为政策制定者、投资组合经理、国内外投资者、风险分析师和金融研究人员提供了通过组合东盟五国资产来实现投资组合多样化的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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