Financial Crises and the Transmission of Monetary Policy to Consumer Credit Markets

Sasha Indarte
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Abstract

How does creditor health affect the pass-through of monetary policy to households? Using data on the universe of U.S. credit unions, I document that creditor asset losses increase the sensitivity of consumer credit to monetary policy. Identification exploits plausibly exogenous variation in asset losses and high-frequency identification of monetary policy shocks. Weaker lenders can respond more if they face financial frictions that easing alleviates. The estimates imply constraints on monetary policy become more costly in financial crises featuring creditor asset losses and that an additional benefit of monetary easing is that it weakens the causal, contractionary effect of asset losses.
金融危机和货币政策对消费信贷市场的传导
债权人的健康状况如何影响货币政策对家庭的传导?利用美国信用合作社的数据,我证明了债权人资产损失增加了消费者信贷对货币政策的敏感性。识别利用了资产损失中看似合理的外生变化,以及对货币政策冲击的高频识别。实力较弱的银行如果面临宽松政策所缓解的金融摩擦,可以做出更大的反应。这些估计表明,在以债权人资产损失为特征的金融危机中,货币政策约束的代价会更高,而货币宽松的另一个好处是,它削弱了资产损失的因果收缩效应。
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