Biomass Forwards and Futures Market to Support Bioenergy Development

A. Pyasi, S. Deng, V. Thomas
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Abstract

The potential for increased production of electricity and fuels from forest biomass, and the prospect of US limits on greenhouse gas emissions suggest that the demand for biomass may increase significantly. There is significant potential for volatility in the price of biomass leading to disruption of supply of biomass to plants. There are great opportunities for biomass power generation to offset and sell carbon credits especially after the success of European Emission trading scheme and sustenance of voluntary markets in US. But there are major risks too, with uncertainties about regulation, future of carbon markets and taxes, prices, and technologies. These risks dampen investor confidence in the biomass projects. We analyse the possible policy and market solutions to this problem and present a solution through development of a biomass futures market.
支持生物能源发展的生物质能远期和期货市场
从森林生物质中增加电力和燃料生产的潜力,以及美国限制温室气体排放的前景表明,对生物质的需求可能会显著增加。生物质价格波动的可能性很大,可能导致向植物供应生物质的中断。特别是在欧洲排放交易计划取得成功和美国自愿市场的支持之后,生物质发电有很大的机会来抵消和出售碳信用额。但也存在重大风险,包括监管、碳市场的未来、税收、价格和技术等方面的不确定性。这些风险削弱了投资者对生物质项目的信心。我们分析了解决这一问题的可能的政策和市场解决方案,并通过发展生物质期货市场提出了解决方案。
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