Remittances, Human Capital Nexus: Exploring the Role of Exchange Rate in Asia

Iqra Noor, B. Hussain, Umbreen Zahra
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Abstract

This paper analyses the impact of remittances on human capital through the interaction of exchange rate in Asia. There is considerable debate regarding the relative contribution of international migrant’s remittances to sustainable economic development. Remittances are considered as temporary income. If exchange rate remains stable, then remittances will help in curtailing income hurdles of households as well as for government and helps to increase investment in education. Investment in education increases skill level of labor force and create an environment for long term growth. We use panel data of 54 Asian countries for the period of 1980-2020 and employ Hausman test and percentile analysis. The paper concludes that remittances have a positive and significant impact on human capital. However, the substituting relationship of remittances and exchange rate is observed in stimulating human capital in Asian countries. The developing countries having low growth, when exchange rate is overvalued (appreciate), it is not only pushing the economy further toward slower growth due to decrease in foreign competitiveness, increase in the current account deficit and increase unemployment but also cause to decrease main source of earning remittances growth in these countries. Therefore, this study suggests that the government of developing country implements such policies that helps in the stabilization of their currencies (manage floating exchange rate).
汇款、人力资本关系:探讨汇率在亚洲的作用
本文通过汇率的相互作用分析了亚洲地区汇款对人力资本的影响。关于国际移徙者汇款对可持续经济发展的相对贡献存在相当大的争论。汇款被视为临时收入。如果汇率保持稳定,那么汇款将有助于减少家庭和政府的收入障碍,并有助于增加教育投资。对教育的投资提高了劳动力的技能水平,为长期增长创造了环境。我们使用了54个亚洲国家1980-2020年的面板数据,并采用了豪斯曼检验和百分位数分析。本文的结论是,汇款对人力资本具有显著的积极影响。然而,在亚洲国家,汇款和汇率在刺激人力资本方面存在替代关系。低增长的发展中国家,当汇率被高估(升值)时,它不仅推动经济进一步走向缓慢增长,由于外国竞争力下降,经常账户赤字增加和失业率增加,而且还导致这些国家汇款收入增长的主要来源减少。因此,本研究建议发展中国家政府实施有助于稳定其货币(管理浮动汇率)的政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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