‘Coloured Revolution’ as a Political Phenomenon

D. Lane
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引用次数: 49

Abstract

Different forms of political change from putsch to revolution are described and ‘coloured revolutions’ are analysed as revolutionary coups d'etat. Conditions promoting and retarding the success of such movements are discussed and cases of ‘decremental relative deprivation’ are discovered which predisposed the public to insurgency. Conditions for success involved a united and organized opposition with an alternative ideology and political policy. Counter-elites when in power neither carry out revolutions nor promote democratic development. An unintended consequence of democracy promotion is that autocratic regimes learn to counteract it and in so doing weaken genuine civil society associations.
“颜色革命”作为一种政治现象
描述了从政变到革命的不同形式的政治变革,并将“颜色革命”分析为革命政变。讨论了促进和阻碍此类运动成功的条件,并发现了“相对剥夺递减”的情况,这种情况使公众倾向于叛乱。成功的条件包括一个统一的、有组织的、具有不同意识形态和政治政策的反对派。反精英掌权时既不搞革命,也不推动民主发展。促进民主的一个意想不到的后果是,专制政权学会了抵制民主,从而削弱了真正的公民社会协会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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