The Theoretical Research and Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Interest Rates and Household Savings

Lan Tan, Weiwei Chen, Hong Zhou
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Abstract

The ideas of cutting down interest rates to curb savings and promoting consumption is important for the implementation of macroeconomic policies. This paper establishes savings rate regression model and analyses the influence of interest rates on China's household savings since 1988. The study has found the impact of interest rates on household savings is uncertain, so it will be over-simplified if you only hope that cutting interest rates will achieve suppression savings and stimulate consumption. The paper also puts forward some relevant policy recommendations in order to play a role in China's consumption growth and economic development.
利率与居民储蓄关系的理论研究与实证分析
降息抑制储蓄、促进消费的思路对宏观经济政策的实施具有重要意义。本文建立了储蓄率回归模型,分析了1988年以来利率对中国居民储蓄的影响。研究发现,利率对居民储蓄的影响是不确定的,如果只希望降息就能达到抑制储蓄、刺激消费的目的,那就过于简单化了。本文还提出了一些相关的政策建议,以期在促进中国消费增长和经济发展中发挥作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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