Bayesian Inference of a Non normal Multivariate Partial Linear Regression Model

Sarmad Abdulkhaleq Salih, Emad H. Aboudi
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Abstract

This research includes the Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the multivariate partial linear regression model when the random error follows the matrix-variate generalized modified Bessel distribution and found the statistical test of the model represented by finding the Bayes factor criterion, the predictive distribution under assumption that the shape parameters are known. The prior distribution about the model parameters is represented by non-informative information, as well as the simulate on the generated data from the model by a suggested way based on different values of the shape parameters, the kernel function used in the generation was a Gaussian kernel function, the bandwidth (Smoothing) parameter was according to the rule of thumb. It found that the posterior marginal probability distribution of the location matrix θ and the predictive probability distribution is a matrix-t distribution with different parameters, the posterior marginal probability distribution of the scale matrix Σ is proper distribution but it does not belong to the conjugate family, Through the Bayes factor criterion, it was found that the sample that was used in the generation process was drawn from a population that does not belong to the generalized modified Bessel population.
非正态多元偏线性回归模型的贝叶斯推断
本研究包括随机误差服从矩阵变量广义修正贝塞尔分布时多元偏线性回归模型参数的贝叶斯估计,以及在形状参数已知的假设下找到贝叶斯因子准则所表示的模型的预测分布的统计检验。模型参数的先验分布由非信息信息表示,并根据形状参数的不同值对模型生成的数据进行模拟,生成时使用的核函数为高斯核函数,带宽(平滑)参数根据经验法则。发现位置矩阵θ的后验边际概率分布与预测概率分布为不同参数的矩阵-t分布,尺度矩阵Σ的后验边际概率分布为正态分布,但不属于共轭族,通过贝叶斯因子判据,结果发现,在生成过程中使用的样本取自一个不属于广义修正贝塞尔种群的种群。
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