The Impact of Tourism Development and Economic Growth on Poverty Reduction in Kazakhstan

I. Shah, I. U. Haq
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Abstract

Abstract The paper examines the long-run relationship between poverty reduction, economic growth, and tourism development in Kazakhstan during the period of 2001–2017. We expand the basic model by including other poverty determinants such as inequality, unemployment, and spending on health. We use the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to test the co-integration of variables, as the ARDL bound test of co-integration is less restrictive and provides more reliable coefficients than other time series econometric models. The ARDL bound test results show that there exists a long-run relationship between the said variables. The coefficients of all variables have the expected signs in the long run.
旅游业发展和经济增长对哈萨克斯坦减贫的影响
摘要:本文考察了2001-2017年哈萨克斯坦减贫、经济增长和旅游业发展之间的长期关系。我们扩展了基本模型,纳入了其他贫困决定因素,如不平等、失业和医疗支出。我们使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法来检验变量的协整,因为与其他时间序列计量模型相比,协整的ARDL约束检验约束更少,提供的系数更可靠。ARDL约束检验结果表明,上述变量之间存在着长期的关系。所有变量的系数都有长期预期的符号。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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