The Venezuelan Crisis and Brazil’s South American Policy

E. Ribeiro
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Abstract

The political crisis in Venezuela is one of the most important regional developments for Brazil in 2016, aside from its own domestic crisis and the election of Macri in Argentina. The interim government has showed willingness to undertake major changes in Brazil’s regional foreign policy. The Venezuelan crisis is a parameter to analyze the political realignments after years of stability, but slower than intended progress in South American regional integration. The initial support for venezuelan opposition against the Chavist government symbolizes a swerve towards uncertainty in Mercosur and happens in the context of pressure to sign extra-regional economic agreements. Currently, interim Brazilian leadership is playing the “democracy card”, although the disrespect for democracy is not an exclusive feature of Venezuela in South America, but a recurring phenomenon in the region. Instead of blaming any side for the crisis, Brazil should use Unasur mechanisms to extinguish the fire and work for a middle path in the troubled transition of power in Venezuela. Thus, Brazil could revitalize Mercosur and persuade the South American leaders on the benefits of regionalism over unrestrained globalization. Otherwise, the Brazilian government may lose their bargaining position as a regional leader and interlocutor with the outside world; and South America may have a disordered process of globalization.
委内瑞拉危机与巴西的南美政策
委内瑞拉的政治危机是巴西在2016年最重要的地区事态发展之一,除了其国内危机和阿根廷总统马克里的当选。临时政府表示愿意对巴西的地区外交政策进行重大改革。经过多年的稳定,委内瑞拉危机是分析政治重组的一个参数,但它比南美地区一体化的预期进展要慢。最初对委内瑞拉反对派反对查韦斯政府的支持象征着南方共同市场转向不确定性,并发生在签署区域外经济协议的压力背景下。目前,巴西临时领导人正在打“民主牌”,尽管对民主的不尊重并非委内瑞拉在南美的独有特征,而是该地区反复出现的现象。巴西不应将危机归咎于任何一方,而应利用Unasur机制来灭火,并为委内瑞拉陷入困境的权力过渡寻找一条中间道路。因此,巴西可以重振南方共同市场,并说服南美领导人相信区域主义比不受限制的全球化有好处。否则,巴西政府可能会失去作为地区领导者和外部世界对话者的谈判地位;南美的全球化进程可能是无序的。
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