Serbia: Military Confrontation with NATO

Marinko Bobić
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Abstract

Chapter six covers the military confrontation launched by the NATO alliance against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (Serbia) in 1999. It explains why and under what conditions Slobodan Milošević’s regime rejected a peaceful settlement to the Kosovo conflict. It does so by highlighting how antagonisms in Kosovo presented a unique domestic crisis, giving Milošević an opportunity to seize power and ride on the popular sentiment, but also limited Milošević’s ability to compromise with Kosovo Albanians. To retain regime stability and popularity, Milošević resisted compromising on Kosovo. In addition, he was given foreign support by Russia, which opposed NATO intervention at a diplomatic level. Once the conditions change, a counter-factual analysis shows that so does their causal power, further strengthening the findings.
塞尔维亚:与北约的军事对抗
第六章叙述1999年北约联盟对南斯拉夫联邦共和国(塞尔维亚)发动的军事对抗。它解释了斯洛博丹Milošević政权为什么以及在什么条件下拒绝和平解决科索沃冲突。它通过强调科索沃的对立是如何呈现出一种独特的国内危机来做到这一点,这给Milošević提供了一个夺取权力和驾驭民意的机会,但也限制了Milošević与科索沃阿尔巴尼亚人妥协的能力。为了保持政权的稳定和声望,Milošević拒绝在科索沃问题上妥协。此外,他还得到了俄罗斯的支持,俄罗斯在外交层面上反对北约的干预。一旦条件发生变化,反事实分析表明,它们的因果关系也会发生变化,从而进一步加强了研究结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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