THE STATE OF TOURISM IN EUROPEAN UNION MEMBER STATES DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has left an impact on the whole world and all economic activities without exception. There are already indications of the consequences, and they will be fully perceptible only after the pandemic is over, which still seems far away. One of the general characteristics of tourism is vulnerability during periods of crisis which everyone globally has to face. Since the beginning of 2020, and especially since March, a drastic drop in tourist travels on the tourism market of the European Union, or its member states, is obvious. The goal of this paper is to define a model which will be able to predict changes in tourist visits based on their movements in previous periods. The analysis includes all European Union member states and changes in the number of tourist visits on a monthly basis during 2020. The model will also enable future predictions, which is very important for tourism policy carriers, as well as for the tourism offer which can adapt to expectations.