Einstein’s Criterion Applied to Logical Macro-Economics’ Modeling

D. Chester
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Abstract

A fully comprehensive representative model of our national macroeconomics is derived from first principles, using the absolutely minimum necessary amount of analytic logic. Two vital features of the procedure for portraying our society are that it is to be modeled by using a diagram, and that it is in the form of a system. This presentation of the structure is essential, for us to properly understand about how our whole macroeconomics system works and to explain and analyze it. Two basic assumptions are necessary to reduce the otherwise undefined complex society to a manageable model. These are firstly that the system connects a number of particular types of traded exchanges of goods, services, access rights, legal documents, etc., and secondly that they pass between various pairs of discrete unique role-playing agents or entities. The many similar exchange activities are idealized aggregates within the paths of the system. It is found that only a limited number of kinds of these exchanges are needed, and that an even smaller number of the entities suffice to cover the whole system. Derived from the general nature of our society, there are but 10 necessarily different kinds of these exchanges and they are sub-divided and included in a table of 19 specific mutual flows of money, being exchanged for goods, services, etc. It is found that these flows need to pass between only 6 entities. From the resulting tabulated list, a block-and-flow diagram or model is drawn. Since the minimum number of activities were logically determined and incorporated using the least number of individual entities, it is concluded that this system is the simplest possible, yet still being a sufficiently complete model of our society, arranged in an absolutely ideal, logical and best scientific form, for further use.
爱因斯坦准则在逻辑宏观经济学建模中的应用
我们国家宏观经济学的一个完全全面的代表性模型是从第一性原理推导出来的,使用了绝对必要的最少数量的分析逻辑。描绘我们的社会的过程有两个重要的特点,一是要用图表来建模,二是它是以系统的形式存在的。这种结构的呈现对于我们正确理解整个宏观经济系统是如何运作的,并解释和分析它是至关重要的。两个基本假设是必要的,否则将不确定的复杂社会简化为一个可管理的模式。首先,系统连接了许多特定类型的商品、服务、访问权、法律文件等交易交换,其次,它们在不同对独立的独特角色扮演代理或实体之间传递。许多相似的交换活动是系统路径内的理想化聚合。研究发现,只需要有限种类的交易所,甚至更少的实体就足以覆盖整个系统。从我们社会的一般性质出发,这些交换必然有10种不同的类型,它们被细分并包括在19种特定的货币相互流动表中,用于交换商品、服务等。我们发现这些流只需要在6个实体之间传递。从生成的表格列表中,绘制出一个块流图或模型。由于最少数量的活动是用最少数量的个体实体在逻辑上确定和结合起来的,因此可以得出结论,这个系统是最简单的,但仍然是我们社会的一个足够完整的模型,以绝对理想的、合乎逻辑的、最好的科学形式安排,供进一步使用。
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