Generational Differences in the Labour Market – Three Confounded Effects

Kinga Wilczyńska, G. Wieczorkowska
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Abstract

Abstract Objective: Many research claim that Millennials value work ethic much lower and leisure time much higher than older generations. Most of them are based on cross-sectional analyses of data collected at one time. This design confounds the COHORT effect (born in the same time period and thus exposed to the same cultural forces during their formative socialization period) and biological AGE, and it makes it impossible to separate them. Our goal is to demonstrate how to empirically separate the confounded effects of APC (biological AGE – PERIOD of measurement – COHORT) in a simple way. Methodology: Three generations (Baby Boomers, X-ers and Millennials) from the representative Polish samples of the World Value Survey, were cross-sectionally compared, and a cross-lagged comparison was made between BB in 2005 vs X in 2020, and between X in 2005 and Millennials in 2020. Findings: It was shown that significant cross-sectional differences in attitudes toward work between the 3 generation (with the highest score for Baby Boom-ers and the lowest for Millennials) cannot be explained by age differences. Over the period of 15 years, the importance of leisure time has increased for all generations (PERIOD effect). Value Added: The paper highlights significant methodological problem: the confounding effect of APC in most generational findings. It promotes the idea of using nationally representative samples from publicly available data like World Value Survey, instead of collecting convenience samples. Recommendations: Greater methodological rigour in generational studies is recommended, as their results can create/support stereotypes that tend to generate individual expectations (e.g. every Millennial is computer literate or lazy), ignoring the fact that intra-generational variability is very high.
劳动力市场的代际差异——三种混淆效应
摘要目的:许多研究表明,千禧一代对职业道德的重视程度远低于老一辈,而对休闲时间的重视程度远高于老一辈。其中大多数是基于一次收集的数据的横断面分析。这个设计混淆了队列效应(出生在同一时期,因此在他们形成的社会化时期暴露于相同的文化力量)和生物年龄,使它们无法分开。我们的目标是演示如何用一种简单的方法从经验上分离APC(生物年龄-测量期-队列)的混杂效应。方法:对世界价值调查中波兰代表性样本中的三代人(婴儿潮一代、X一代和千禧一代)进行横断面比较,并在2005年BB与2020年X、2005年X与2020年千禧一代之间进行交叉滞后比较。研究结果:研究表明,3代人在工作态度上的显著横截面差异(婴儿潮一代得分最高,千禧一代得分最低)不能用年龄差异来解释。在过去的15年里,休闲时间对所有人的重要性都有所增加(时期效应)。附加值:本文强调了重要的方法学问题:APC在大多数代际研究结果中的混淆效应。它提倡从世界价值调查等公开数据中使用具有全国代表性的样本,而不是收集方便样本。建议:建议在代际研究中采用更严格的方法,因为他们的结果可能会创造/支持倾向于产生个人期望的刻板印象(例如,每个千禧一代都是计算机爱好者或懒惰者),忽略了代际差异非常高的事实。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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