Prediction Of Amount Of Use Of Planning Family Contraception Equipment Using Monte Carlo Method (Case Study In Linggo Sari Baganti District)

Rani Yunima Astia, Julius Santony, S. Sumijan
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

Family planning aims to minimize birth rates in Indonesia. To conduct socialization, it is carried out to existing fertile couples. Pus is a married couple whose wife is in the range of 15-49 years. Contraception itself consists of 2 periods, namely short and long. Where the pus can choose according to what they want, therefore there is often a lack of stock. Thus it is necessary to predict how many contraceptives are used with a method to be more efficient. The Monte Carlo method is used which is a numerical analysis method that involves a sample of random numbers. Where to use the previous year's data to get the predicted results of the next year in the form of numbers. After passing the simulation series the percentage results have been obtained with an average of over 80%.
基于蒙特卡罗方法的计划生育避孕器具使用量预测(以林戈沙里巴甘提区为例)
计划生育旨在使印度尼西亚的出生率降到最低。为了进行社会化,它是对现有的有生育能力的夫妇进行的。普是指已婚夫妇,妻子年龄在15-49岁之间。避孕本身包括两个时期,即短期和长期。哪里的脓液可以根据自己想要的来选择,因此经常会出现缺货的情况。因此,有必要预测一种更有效的方法使用了多少避孕药。蒙特卡罗方法是一种涉及随机数字样本的数值分析方法。如何利用前一年的数据,以数字的形式得到下一年的预测结果。通过一系列的仿真,得到了平均在80%以上的百分比结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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