Integral prediction of shale gas sweet spot based on a novel intelligent method

K. Qian, H. Zhang, J. Liu, Z. He, B. Chen, D. Jiang
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Abstract

Summary Shale reservoirs are characterized by its low porosity and permeability, strong heterogeneity and intensive anisotropy. Conventional geophysical methods are far from perfect when it comes to the prediction of shale sweet - spot. Based on algorithms such as fuzzy mathematics, machine learning and multiple regression analysis, an effective workflow is proposed to allow intelligent prediction of sweet - spots location and comprehensive quantitative characterization of shale oil and gas reservoirs. This workflow can effectively combine multi-scale and multi-disciplinary data such as geology, well drilling, well logging and seismic measurements. Following the maximum subordination and attribute optimization principle, we establish a machine-learning model by adopting the support vector machine method to arrive at multi-attribute prediction of reservoir sweet - spot location. Additionally, multiple regression analysis technology is applied to allow the quantification of a number of sweet-spot attributes. The practical application of these methods to areas of interest shows high accuracy and resolution of sweet - spot prediction, indicating that it is a good approach for describing the distribution of high quality regions within shale oil and gas reservoirs. Based on these sweet-spot attributes, quantitative characterization of unconventional reservoirs can provide a reliable evaluation of shale reservoir potential.
基于智能方法的页岩气甜点积分预测
页岩储层具有低孔低渗、非均质性强、各向异性强的特点。传统的地球物理方法在页岩储层甜点预测方面还远远不够完善。基于模糊数学、机器学习和多元回归分析等算法,提出了一种有效的页岩油气储层甜点位置智能预测和综合定量表征工作流程。该工作流程可以有效地结合地质、钻井、测井、地震等多尺度、多学科数据。根据最大隶属关系和属性优化原则,采用支持向量机方法建立了一个机器学习模型,实现了油藏甜点位置的多属性预测。此外,多元回归分析技术的应用,允许一些甜蜜点属性的量化。在感兴趣区域的实际应用表明,该方法具有较高的甜点预测精度和分辨率,是描述页岩油气储层优质区分布的良好方法。基于这些甜点属性,非常规储层的定量表征可以为页岩储层潜力提供可靠的评价。
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