Investigation of the Causal Relationships between Economic Development and Combustible Renewables and Waste Consumption in Central Asian Countries

Bolor Turmunkh, Khambai Khamjalas
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Abstract

This study examines the relationships between Foreign direct investment (FDI), Gross domestic product (GDP), Trade, Inflation, Labor force, Population density, Combustible renewables and waste consumption for the case of Central Asia, spanning the period 1990 to 2020. The combustible renewables and wastes consumption in Central Asia are based on the long run and short run relationship between economic development with the Error Correction Model (ECM) based Panel Cointegration tests and Panel Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Granger causality test tried to explain using the causality test, spanning the period 1990 to 2020. An empirical analysis uses the Im, Pesaran, and Shin (CIPS) Panel Unit Root test and Westerlund ECM to test the basics of the data unit based on this information. The Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) specification was based on the results of the Lag-order selection criteria, and the stability of the PVAR model was checked through the observation of the Hausman test and Eigenvalue stability condition. It performs tests to verify the existence of the long run relationships among the variables and examines short and long run causal relationships. It finds that increased combustible renewables and waste consumption use is the main cause of increased economic growth.
中亚国家可燃可再生能源和废弃物消费与经济发展的因果关系研究
本研究考察了1990年至2020年期间中亚地区外国直接投资(FDI)、国内生产总值(GDP)、贸易、通货膨胀、劳动力、人口密度、可燃可再生能源和废物消费之间的关系。中亚地区可燃可再生能源和废弃物消费基于经济发展的长期和短期关系,采用基于误差修正模型(ECM)的面板协整检验和面板向量误差修正模型(VECM)的格兰杰因果检验,试图使用因果检验进行解释,时间跨度为1990年至2020年。实证分析使用Im, Pesaran, and Shin (CIPS)面板单位根测试和Westerlund ECM来测试基于这些信息的数据单元的基础。面板向量自回归(Panel Vector Autoregression, PVAR)规范是基于Lag-order选择准则的结果,通过观察Hausman检验和特征值稳定性条件来检验PVAR模型的稳定性。它执行测试以验证变量之间长期关系的存在性,并检查短期和长期因果关系。报告发现,可燃可再生能源和废物消费的增加是经济增长的主要原因。
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