Exchange Rate and Manufacturing Sector Performance in Nigeria

Martin Chukwuma Orji, C.I. Ezeanyaeji
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Abstract

This study examined the impact of exchange rates on the performance of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria between 1990 and 2020. Using canonical  cointegrating regression (CCR) framework, the result obtained showed that exchange rate devaluation constrains manufacturing sector while exchange  rate fluctuation hampers manufacturing output. The study indicated that price increase leads to decline in the manufacturing sector, the study recommends among other things the need to formulate policies that align with the exchange rate to the actual needs of the manufacturing sector. The  study further suggests that change in exchange rate management strategy should be allowed to run a reasonable course of time. Jettisoning strategies  at will and on frequent basis has implication for exchange rate and obvious consequence for a sector that depends on foreign inputs 
汇率与尼日利亚制造业绩效
本研究考察了1990年至2020年间汇率对尼日利亚制造业绩效的影响。运用典型协整回归(CCR)框架,得到汇率贬值约束制造业,汇率波动制约制造业产出的结果。该研究表明,价格上涨导致制造业的衰退,该研究建议,除其他事项外,有必要制定符合制造业实际需要的汇率政策。该研究进一步建议,应允许汇率管理战略的变化经过一段合理的时间。随意和频繁地放弃战略会对汇率产生影响,对一个依赖外国投入的部门也会产生明显的后果
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