Economic Benefits of Export Diversification in Small States

Arnold M. McIntyre, Mike Xin Li, Ke Wang, Hanlei Yun
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引用次数: 38

Abstract

The paper considers concepts of economic diversification with respect to exports (including service sectors) for small states. We assessed the economic performance of different groups of 34 small states over the period of 1990-2015 and found those more diversified experienced lower output volatility and higher average growth than most other small states. Our findings are consistent with conventional economic theories but we found that export diversification has a more significant impact on reducing output volatility than improving long run growth in small states. Diversification requires fundamental changes and should be contemplated in the context of a cohesive development strategy.
小国出口多样化的经济利益
本文考虑了小国出口(包括服务部门)方面的经济多样化概念。我们评估了1990年至2015年期间34个小州的不同群体的经济表现,发现与大多数其他小州相比,那些多元化程度更高的小州经历了更低的产出波动和更高的平均增长率。我们的研究结果与传统经济理论一致,但我们发现出口多样化对减少产出波动的影响比改善小国的长期增长更显著。多样化需要根本的改变,应该在统一的发展战略的范围内加以考虑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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