NONLINEAR MODELS FOR FITTING GROWTH CURVES OF NELLORE COWS REARED IN THE AMAZON BIOME

Abstract

Growth curves of Nellore cows were estimated by comparing six nonlinear models: Brody, Logistic, two alternatives by Gompertz, Richards and Von Bertalanffy. The models were fitted to weight-age data, from birth to 750 days of age of 29,221 cows, born between 1976 and 2006 in the Brazilian states of Acre, Amapa, Amazonas, Para, Rondonia, Roraima and Tocantins. The models were fitted by the Gauss-Newton method. The goodness of fit of the models was evaluated by using mean square error, adjusted coefficient of determination, prediction error and mean absolute error. Biological interpretation of parameters was accomplished by plotting estimated weights versus the observed weight means, instantaneous growth rate, absolute maturity rate, relative instantaneous growth rate, inflection point and magnitude of the parameters A (asymptotic weight) and K (maturing rate). The Brody and Von Bertalanffy models fitted the weight-age data but the other models did not. The average weight (A) and growth rate (K) were: 384.6±1.63 kg and 0.0022±0.00002 (Brody) and 313.40±0.70 kg and 0.0045±0.00002 (Von Bertalanffy). The Brody model provides better goodness of fit than the Von Bertalanffy model.