Day of the Week Effect in Cryptocurrencies' Returns and Volatility

Vandana Dangi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Calendar anomalies as the seasonal tendencies in stock returns are the signal of irregular behaviour of stock markets. These anomalies have been comprehensively studied in many matured as well as emerging stock markets. But there is lack of exploration of calendar anomalies in the cryptocurrency market. So, the present treatise is an attempt to fill this lacuna by studying day of the week effect on cryptocurrencies' returns and volatility. This study is based on the prices of eight cryptocurrencies (viz. Bitcoin, EOS, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Tether, XRP and Stellar) for a period starting from July 2017 and up to March 2020. The series of daily and day-wise returns were initially studied for stationarity using Ng-Perron tests and augmented Dickey–Fuller test. The results from these tests confirmed that the cryptocurrencies' return series are stationary. The day of the week effect on cryptocurrencies returns was studied by introducing the dummies for each day of the week in the ordinary least square regression equation. The residuals from the ordinary least square regression equation were tested for ARCH effect using Engle's ARCH test. The results from the test confirmed the presence of ARCH effect in all series. The GARCH (1,1) model and PARCH model were further applied to account for ARCH effect and these models confirmed the presence of the day of the week effect in all the cryptocurrencies' returns and volatility except for day of week effect in Bitcoin and Tether returns. So, the significant day of the week effect was present in all cryptocurrencies' returns and volatility but the significant day of the week effect was absent in Bitcoin's returns and Tether's returns. These findings of significant day effect may help the existing and potential investors in taking investment decision in contemporary scenario of no ban in cryptocurrency market in India.
加密货币收益和波动性的星期效应
日历异常作为股票回报的季节性趋势是股票市场不规则行为的信号。这些异常现象在许多成熟和新兴股票市场都得到了全面的研究。但加密货币市场缺乏对日历异常的探索。因此,本文试图通过研究一周中的一天对加密货币回报和波动性的影响来填补这一空白。这项研究基于八种加密货币(即比特币,EOS,以太坊,比特币现金,莱特币,Tether, XRP和Stellar)的价格,从2017年7月开始到2020年3月。最初使用Ng-Perron测试和增强的Dickey-Fuller测试对日收益和日收益进行了平稳性研究。这些测试的结果证实,加密货币的回报序列是平稳的。通过在普通最小二乘回归方程中引入一周中每一天的假人,研究了一周中的哪一天对加密货币回报的影响。用Engle’s ARCH检验对普通最小二乘回归方程残差进行ARCH效应检验。试验结果证实了各系列均存在ARCH效应。我们进一步应用GARCH(1,1)模型和PARCH模型来解释ARCH效应,这些模型证实了除比特币和Tether收益中的星期效应外,所有加密货币的收益和波动都存在星期效应。因此,所有加密货币的收益率和波动性都存在显著的周中天数效应,但比特币和Tether的收益率不存在显著的周中天数效应。这些具有重大日效应的发现可能有助于现有和潜在投资者在印度加密货币市场没有禁令的当代情景下做出投资决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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