Economic development of Russia under the influence of migration processes

E. Yakovleva, O. Drozdov, V. Bazzhina
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Abstract

This paper describes the problem of the labor migrant’s employment economic efficiency impact on the Russian national economy. The purpose of this study is to identify the contradiction between the micro and macro levels in an economy using migrants’ labor, whose qualification is lower than the local employees’. It is emphasized that the benefits, obtained by the business in the process of hiring a cheaper labor force, make it possible to reduce the production costs due to lower wages of these workers and to increase the competitiveness of the production. At the same time, this leads to the employer’s disinterest in the introduction of new technologies, thus hindering the growth of labor productivity at Russian enterprises. At the macroeconomic level, this is reflected in the rate of economic growth, its compliance with modern requirements of high-tech production. These contradictions lead to the effect of a "migration trap" in which the national economy is entering. To identify the economic benefits of using migrant labor at the macroeconomic level, the study provides statistically valid calculation of the share of the GDP produced by the migrants in the Russian economy, revenues and expenses of the state budget to address the problems conjugated with using of foreign labor. The findings suggest lack of effective use of migrant labor in the Russian economy. Having carried out all the calculations the authors faced with limited statistical accounting of some indicators alongside with the need of an expert estimating, that introduces variability in the calculations being made.
移民进程影响下的俄罗斯经济发展
本文阐述了劳务移民就业经济效率对俄罗斯国民经济的影响问题。本研究的目的是找出一个使用流动劳动力的经济体在微观和宏观层面的矛盾,流动劳动力的素质低于当地雇员。它强调的是,企业在雇佣廉价劳动力的过程中所获得的利益,使得由于这些工人的工资较低而降低了生产成本,增加了生产的竞争力。同时,这也导致雇主对引进新技术不感兴趣,从而阻碍了俄罗斯企业劳动生产率的提高。在宏观经济层面,这体现在经济增长率上,其符合现代高科技生产的要求。这些矛盾导致了国民经济正在进入的“移民陷阱”效应。为了确定在宏观经济层面上使用移民劳动力的经济效益,该研究提供了统计上有效的计算,计算了移民在俄罗斯经济中产生的GDP份额,以及国家预算的收入和支出,以解决与使用外国劳动力相关的问题。调查结果表明,俄罗斯经济缺乏对移民劳动力的有效利用。在进行了所有的计算后,作者面临着对一些指标进行有限的统计核算以及需要专家估计的问题,这在正在进行的计算中引入了可变性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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