The Relationships of Monetary Policy and the Real Estate Stocks Market

Shinhong Lao
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Abstract

Currently, with the rapid development of China, the real estate industry as the pillar of the Chinese economy and the scale of investment continues to expand. The rapid rise of real estate prices will cause the real estate bubble appears. The real estate industry is not only influenced by the supply and demand, also affected the national macro-control policies. This paper based on the previous studies and selects the monthly data of real estate stocks markets and money supply(M2) from January 2015 to March 2021. The study created Vector Auto Regression model (VAR1,4) and shows significant interaction between real estate stocks prices and money supply.
货币政策与房地产股票市场的关系
当前,随着中国的快速发展,房地产业作为中国经济的支柱和投资规模不断扩大。房地产价格的快速上涨会导致房地产泡沫的出现。房地产行业不仅受供求关系的影响,也受国家宏观调控政策的影响。本文在前人研究的基础上,选取了2015年1月至2021年3月房地产股票市场和货币供应量(M2)的月度数据。本研究建立了向量自回归模型(VAR1,4),结果显示房地产股票价格与货币供应量之间存在显著的交互作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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