Socio-demographic determinants of farmers’ beliefs about climate change cause in the Sudanian zone of Benin

A. Bonou, B. Lokonon, A. Singbo, Janvier Egah
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Abstract

Understanding farmers’ beliefs on climate change is crucial as it drives the adaptation strategies that they might adopt. This paper investigates farmers’ beliefs on climate change in the Sudan Savannah Zone of Benin, a region heavily reliant on rain-fed agriculture. The multinomial logit model is applied to cross-sectional data collected through a survey of 60 randomly selected farm households. The findings suggested that 33.33%, 31.67%, 21.67%, and 13.33% of the farm households believe that climate change is due to human activities, to natural changes in the environment, gods anger, and to both human activities and natural changes in the environment, respectively. Moreover, the estimation results of the determinants of climate change cause indicate that the gender of the household head, the ethnic group, and household size influence significantly climate change beliefs. Based on the findings, information on the fact that climate change is not only due to natural changes in the environment, but is also due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases should be provided to farmers. This paper contributes to the literature by analyzing what farmers believe as causes of climate change which is beyond climate change perception. Moreover, the variable ethnic group and household size are found for the first time to our knowledge to determine climate change beliefs.
贝宁苏丹地区农民对气候变化信念的社会人口决定因素
了解农民对气候变化的看法至关重要,因为这将推动他们可能采取的适应策略。本文调查了贝宁苏丹萨凡纳地区农民对气候变化的看法,该地区严重依赖雨养农业。对随机选取的60户农户进行调查,所得的横截面数据采用多项logit模型。结果表明,农户中分别有33.33%、31.67%、21.67%和13.33%的农户认为气候变化是人类活动、自然环境变化、神怒和人类活动与自然环境变化共同造成的。此外,气候变化原因决定因素的估计结果表明,户主性别、民族和家庭规模显著影响气候变化信念。基于这些发现,应该向农民提供有关气候变化不仅是由于环境的自然变化,而且也是由于人为温室气体的事实的信息。本文通过分析农民认为气候变化的原因,这超出了气候变化的感知,为文献做出了贡献。此外,在我们所知的范围内,首次发现可变的族群和家庭规模决定了气候变化信念。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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