The fact and causes of warm-dry and warm-wet change since 1971 in HEXI corridor area of Gansu Province, China

Shu Lin, Li-Wei Liu, Dan-hua Li, G. Lu
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Abstract

Based on daily precipitation data of 19 weather stations from 1971~2017 over the Hexi Corridor in Gansu, characteristics of three analytical elements (precipitation, rain days and precipitation intensity) were analyzed. Results show that precipitation in the whole Hexi Corridor increases significantly in the autumn, and the winter precipitation in the east of Jiuquan to Zhangye also increases significantly. Rainy days in summer decreases significantly, while increases significantly in autumn. The extreme events using the three analytical elements account for 56% in 2000s, showing a significant increase. It accounted only for 16%, 10%, and 18% in 1970s, 1980s and 1990s respectively. Seasonal variability of the extreme events is also significant, i.e., 70% in summer, 60% in autumn, 50% in spring and winter. The frequency of the three analytical extreme events since 2000s is about half of that since 1971.Potential causes of the interdecadal changes of summer and autumn precipitation in 1990s and 2000s were investigated. There are obvious interdecadal variation in 200 hPa and 500 hPa geopotential heights, as well as the 700 hPa relative humidity and specific humidity. This variation leads to more autumn precipitation and less summer precipitation in 2000s.
甘肃河西走廊地区1971年以来暖干、暖湿变化的事实及成因
利用甘肃河西走廊19个气象站1971~2017年逐日降水资料,分析了河西走廊降水、降雨日数和降水强度3个分析要素的特征。结果表明:整个河西走廊秋季降水量显著增加,酒泉以东至张掖地区冬季降水量也显著增加;夏季阴雨日数显著减少,秋季阴雨日数显著增加。在2000年代,使用这三个分析要素的极端事件占56%,呈现出明显的增加趋势。在20世纪70年代、80年代和90年代分别只占16%、10%和18%。极端事件的季节变异也很显著,夏季70%,秋季60%,春冬季50%。自2000年代以来,三次分析性极端事件的频率约为1971年以来的一半。分析了20世纪90年代和2000年代夏季和秋季降水年代际变化的潜在原因。200 hPa和500 hPa位势高度以及700 hPa相对湿度和比湿度存在明显的年代际变化。这种变化导致2000年秋季降水增多,夏季降水减少。
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