Artificial Neural Network Based Prediction of the Effect of Temperature and Irradiance on Photovoltaic Current-Voltage Curves

Naoufel Ismail, M. Bouaïcha
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Abstract

An accurate method associated with an optimization procedure for studying the current-voltage (I-V) characteristics prediction of solar modules for irradiance and temperature is carried out. The method is based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). In the literature, different ANN architectures have been used to translate the solar module I-V curve to any temperature and irradiance conditions. We don’t find in these works an optimization study of the data used in the ANN training. In this work, we describe a new procedure to optimize the temperature and the irradiance values number used in the network training in order to design an ANN model with a few data used in the ANN training and with a high prediction accuracy. In order to validate this procedure, we have compared the I-V curves predicted by ANN with those obtained by simulations using analytical expressions. Results show a prediction accuracy between 99.3% and 99.9%.
基于人工神经网络的温度和辐照度对光伏电流-电压曲线影响预测
提出了一种精确的方法和优化程序,用于研究太阳能组件的电流-电压(I-V)特性对辐照度和温度的预测。该方法基于人工神经网络(ANN)。在文献中,不同的人工神经网络架构已被用于将太阳能组件I-V曲线转换为任何温度和辐照度条件。在这些工作中,我们没有发现对人工神经网络训练中使用的数据进行优化研究。本文提出了一种新的方法来优化网络训练中使用的温度和辐照度值,从而设计出一种训练中使用的数据少、预测精度高的人工神经网络模型。为了验证这一过程,我们将人工神经网络预测的I-V曲线与用解析表达式模拟得到的曲线进行了比较。结果表明,预测精度在99.3% ~ 99.9%之间。
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