Climate Change Impact and Frequency of Cyclone Surge in Bangladesh Coast: Proper Plan to Address Sustainably

Md. Bazlar Rashida, Md. Rubel Sheika, A. Haquea, Mohammad Abdul Aziz Patwarya
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The Bay of Bengal (BoB) is a familiar ground for tropical cyclones. Consequently, cyclone surge and tidal inundation are very common in the Bangladesh coast which causes massive loss of human lives and properties. The present paper is an attempt to delineate the frequency of cyclones in the BoB, and loss of human lives and properties of Bangladesh coast on the basis of published reports, open source data and field checking, and finally to propose an effective way out to protect the area from cyclone surge. This study exposes that the frequency of cyclones in the area increased recently due to rise of global temperature. It further reveals that though the frequency of cyclones is increased, the loss of human lives is significantly decreased. Death toll in the last two decades decreased a lot for similar strength of cyclones comparing to the toll in last thirty or fifty years. Improvement in the early warning system, evacuation plan with proper training and construction of good number of cyclone shelter all over the coastal region are the main reason for this improvement. Though the loss of human lives is significantly reduced, the loss of economic resources in the coastal areas of the country is enormous as in earlier episodes. Therefore, adaptation for the Climate Change effect is needed to expedite with afforestation in the coastal region. Economic loss might also be reduced obstructing the cyclonic surge in the coastal region. Considering the cyclone path and tidal amplitude of cyclonic surge, upgradation or reconstruction of the coastal embankments all along the coast is essential. In this process, it is important to ensure that the tidal channels act as an inlet and outlets all over the coast to keep the natural processes active. An integrated approach including geoscientists, engineers, planners, policy makers, etc. is required to protect the resources as well as proper management of the coastal areas of the country.
气候变化的影响和孟加拉国海岸风暴潮的频率:可持续应对的适当计划
孟加拉湾(BoB)是一个熟悉的热带气旋滋生地。因此,旋风潮和潮汐淹没在孟加拉国海岸非常常见,造成大量人员生命和财产损失。本文试图在已发表的报告、开源数据和实地核查的基础上,描绘出孟加拉国沿海地区的气旋频率和人员生命财产损失,并提出有效的风暴潮保护措施。这项研究表明,由于全球气温上升,该地区最近发生气旋的频率有所增加。这进一步表明,虽然飓风的频率增加,但人类生命的损失明显减少。与过去30或50年相比,过去20年类似强度的气旋造成的死亡人数减少了很多。改善的主要原因是预警系统的完善、经过适当培训的疏散计划以及沿海地区大量风灾避难所的建设。虽然人命损失已大大减少,但该国沿海地区的经济资源损失与前几次一样巨大。因此,适应气候变化的影响需要加快沿海地区的植树造林。在沿海地区阻挡风暴潮也可以减少经济损失。考虑到气旋路径和风暴潮的潮汐幅值,对沿岸堤防进行升级改造是必要的。在这个过程中,重要的是要确保潮汐通道作为整个海岸的入口和出口,以保持自然过程的活跃。需要一种包括地球科学家、工程师、规划师、决策者等在内的综合方法来保护资源以及对该国沿海地区的适当管理。
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