Improve the Prediction of Wind Speed using Hyperbolic Tangent Function with Artificial Neural Network

Tabassum Jahan, Ameenuddin Ahmad
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Abstract

India is truculent to meet the electric power demands of a fast-expanding economy. Restructuring of the power industry has only increased several challenges for the power system engineers. The two largest challenges facing the Indian power sector are: Fuel supply uncertainty and deteriorating distribution companies (discoms) finances. Considering dominance of coal in India's fuel mix, coal shortages can severely impede investments in the generation segment. India is aiming to attain 175 GW of renewable energy which would consist of 100 GW from solar energy, 10 GW from bio-power, 60 GW from wind power, and 5 GW from small hydropower plants by the year 2020. Investors have promised to achieve more than 270 GW, which is significantly above the ambitious targets. Wind energy generation, at present facing many problems like wind speed prediction. In this paper to improve the wind speed prediction by using hyperbolic tangent function with artificial neural network. Hyperbolic tangent with artificial neural network, we know that ANN work like a human brain to perform computations on real time or hyperbolic tangent function lies between 1 to -1 would be near the zero.
利用人工神经网络改进双曲正切函数对风速的预测
为了满足快速增长的经济对电力的需求,印度采取了强硬措施。电力行业的重组只会增加电力系统工程师的几个挑战。印度电力部门面临的两大挑战是:燃料供应的不确定性和配电公司日益恶化的财务状况。考虑到煤炭在印度燃料结构中的主导地位,煤炭短缺可能严重阻碍发电领域的投资。印度的目标是到2020年实现175吉瓦的可再生能源,其中100吉瓦来自太阳能,10吉瓦来自生物能源,60吉瓦来自风能,5吉瓦来自小型水电站。投资者承诺实现超过2.7亿千瓦的目标,远远高于雄心勃勃的目标。风力发电目前面临着风速预测等诸多问题。本文将双曲正切函数与人工神经网络相结合,对风速预测进行改进。双曲正切与人工神经网络一样,我们知道人工神经网络的工作原理就像人脑一样进行实时计算,或者双曲正切函数位于1到-1之间会接近于零。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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