Support for management medical decisions and the nature of uncertainty in them

Abstract

The process of making a medical decision is characterized by a lack of knowledge and inconsistency of the available information, the lack of the possibility of attracting competent medical experts, limited time resources, incomplete or inaccurate information about the patient's condition. These aspects may be the causes of medical errors, which lead to further aggravation of the problem situation. Purpose – it is necessary to define and justify managerial medical decisions and types of medical information in conditions of uncertainty, when each variant of the sets of outcomes of the situation (recommendations) has its own unique set of values. The fundamental difference between this process for medical use is the concept of the "best medical solution", in which the key role is given to the patient's state of health in obtaining and evaluating alternatives, as well as the need to take into account the time, adverse reactions of the body and the costs of implementing this solution. In the medical field, support for medical decision-making can be classified as organizational-managerial and therapeutic-diagnostic, but both are determined by the position of the person making the medical decision and are aimed at effective management of the medical institution as a whole. The article describes the causes and factors of the nature of uncertainty in the tasks of supporting medical decision-making in medical-diagnostic and organizational-managerial areas. The analysis of the features of supporting medical decision-making in conditions of uncertainty is carried out. Approaches and directions in this area, as well as the concept of “solution”, are considered. The essence of the management medical decision is reflected. The classification of management medical decisions is given, the requirements that are imposed on them are highlighted. The features of the development of management medical solutions in the conditions of incompleteness and uncertainty, the problems that arise when they are implemented in information systems are presented. The general scheme of the process of creating a management medical solution is shown. The features of making group and individual decisions are reflected. The algorithm of actions of the person making the medical decision in the conditions of uncertainty, incompleteness and risk in medical subject areas is presented.