STRATEGIC ADVERTISING MANAGEMENT DURING THE PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE

O. Melnikov
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Abstract

The subject of the research is the development of a strategy for optimal management of the company's advertising expenditures when promoting a new product to the market throughout its entire life cycle. To model the sales dynamics of a new product, the article proposes a modification of the Bass diffusion of innovations model, which makes it possible to numerically simulate the impact of advertising expenditures on the intensity of sales of the two groups of consumers identified in the model, namely innovators and imitators. The problem of optimal control of advertising expenditures for product promotion throughout its entire life cycle is formulated. As an optimality criterion, the expected net present value of cash flows from the sale of the product is chosen. It is shown how to solve this problem by means of dynamic programming techniques. An algorithm for numerical search for the optimal control program of advertising expenditures based on the method of contraction mapping has been developed and implemented. As a result of the algorithm, the optimal level of advertising expenditures is established in the form of a law with feedback, where the degree of market saturation acts as a state variable of the system. On this basis, one can find the optimal level of advertising expenditures in each time period and compare sales trajectories with different advertising strategies. Two cases of advertising aimed at innovators and imitators were studied separately. Numerical experiments were carried out, on the basis of which the qualitative characteristics of the strategy for optimal control of advertising expenditures for these two cases were determined. The influence of the chosen management strategy on the form and duration of the product life cycle has been studied. Conclusions are drawn about the comparative economic efficiency of various advertising management strategies. Optimization of the advertising budget using the developed methodology allows enterprises to check whether the planned level of advertising spending is excessive or insufficient. The application of the methodology allows not only to find the optimal size of advertising expenditures depending on the stage of the product life cycle, but also to predict sales and profits for future periods.
产品生命周期的战略广告管理
该研究的主题是公司的广告支出的最优管理策略的发展,当一个新产品推广到市场的整个生命周期。为了模拟新产品的销售动态,本文提出了对Bass创新扩散模型的修改,从而可以数值模拟广告支出对模型中确定的两组消费者(即创新者和模仿者)的销售强度的影响。提出了产品全生命周期广告费用的最优控制问题。作为最优准则,选择销售产品的现金流的预期净现值。介绍了如何利用动态规划技术解决这一问题。提出并实现了一种基于收缩映射法的广告支出最优控制方案的数值搜索算法。算法的结果是,广告支出的最优水平以反馈律的形式确定,其中市场饱和程度作为系统的状态变量。在此基础上,可以找到每个时间段的最佳广告支出水平,并比较不同广告策略的销售轨迹。本文分别研究了针对创新者和模仿者的两个广告案例。在此基础上,确定了两种情况下广告支出最优控制策略的定性特征。研究了管理策略的选择对产品生命周期的形式和持续时间的影响。得出了各种广告经营策略的比较经济效益的结论。利用开发的方法对广告预算进行优化,使企业能够检查计划的广告支出水平是否过高或不足。该方法的应用不仅可以根据产品生命周期的阶段找到广告支出的最佳规模,还可以预测未来时期的销售和利润。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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