The BRICS and Climate Change

R. Leal-Arcas
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引用次数: 18

Abstract

The Kyoto Protocol places the responsibility of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions only with developed countries (i.e., Annex I countries) as if they were the only countries guilty of causing climate change, when in fact the whole world is collectively responsible for this. In the early 1990s, developed countries decided to “take the lead in combating climate change.” Twenty years later, the climate change situation has changed. Instead of asking only Annex I countries to reduce GHG emissions, it is argued in this paper that a more effective (and presumably fairer) way to tackle climate change today is by bringing on board the major GHG emitters, irrespective of their GDP, and asking them to reduce their GHG emissions in an equitable manner without ignoring the historic responsibilities on the part of developed countries. Why? Because the Kyoto Protocol’s stipulation that only Annex I countries reduce their GHG emissions does not reflect today’s or tomorrow’s climate change reality, nor is it acting fast enough to reduce GHG emissions at the agreed levels. Given the transnational nature of climate change, the current situation is similar to a diagnosis of cancer with metastasis. It is therefore not enough to ask only Annex I countries to reduce their GHG emissions if the aim is to solve the climate change issue. This means the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are part of the solution to climate change mitigation. Climate change will have a significant impact on the BRICS. Conversely, the expected impact of the BRICS on climate change is considerable. The size and rate of growth of the BRICS’s economies, of their energy demand, of their energy imports (for instance, in the case of China and India), and of their atmospheric emissions of various types make these countries essential major partners in any regional or global discussions relating to climate change or the production and consumption of energy.
金砖国家与气候变化
《京都议定书》把减少温室气体排放的责任只放在发达国家(即附件一国家)身上,好像它们是唯一造成气候变化的国家,而事实上,整个世界都要为此共同负责。上世纪90年代初,发达国家决定“带头应对气候变化”。二十年后,气候变化形势发生了变化。本文认为,与其只要求附件一国家减少温室气体排放,不如让主要温室气体排放国(不论其国内生产总值如何)加入进来,要求它们在不忽视发达国家历史责任的情况下,以公平的方式减少温室气体排放,这是当今应对气候变化更有效(也可能更公平)的方法。为什么?因为《京都议定书》关于只有附件一国家才能减少温室气体排放的规定,既没有反映当今或未来的气候变化现实,也没有足够快地采取行动,将温室气体排放减少到商定的水平。鉴于气候变化的跨国性质,目前的情况类似于癌症转移的诊断。因此,如果要解决气候变化问题,仅仅要求附件一国家减少温室气体排放是不够的。这意味着金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)是减缓气候变化解决方案的一部分。气候变化将对金砖国家产生重大影响。相反,金砖国家对气候变化的预期影响是相当大的。金砖国家的经济规模和增长速度、能源需求、能源进口(例如中国和印度)以及各种大气排放,使这些国家成为任何有关气候变化或能源生产和消费的区域或全球讨论中不可或缺的重要伙伴。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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