Mid-term Forecast of Electricity Consumption of Enterprises Based on Bi-Directional LSTM and Nonpooling CNN

Bin Zou, Jian Sun
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Abstract

Mid-term forecast of the electricity consumption of enterprises (MFECE) plays a critical role in enterprises' power planning, economical operation, and energy management. This article proposes a novel hybrid neural network-based forecast scheme to reduce the uncertainty and instability of MFECE. The proposed hybrid neural network consists of the bi-directional long short-term memory (BLSTM) network and the nonpooling convolutional neural network (NPCNN). This model uses electricity load data and external features such as calendar, weather, and holiday information as input. NPCNN is used to extract features from the input data set. Then the extracted features and electricity load data are input into BLSTM for training, and the electric load is predicted. The proposed method is tested on a set of real enterprise load data sets and compared with several classical algorithms on the same data sets. The experimental results have proved its superiority.
基于双向LSTM和非池化CNN的企业用电量中期预测
企业用电量中期预测在企业电力规划、经济运行和能源管理中起着至关重要的作用。本文提出了一种新的基于混合神经网络的预测方案,以降低MFECE的不确定性和不稳定性。该混合神经网络由双向长短期记忆(BLSTM)网络和非池化卷积神经网络(NPCNN)组成。该模型使用电力负荷数据和外部特征(如日历、天气和假日信息)作为输入。NPCNN用于从输入数据集中提取特征。然后将提取的特征和用电负荷数据输入到BLSTM中进行训练,并进行用电负荷预测。在实际企业负载数据集上对该方法进行了测试,并与几种经典算法在同一数据集上进行了比较。实验结果证明了该方法的优越性。
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