Financial Indicators and Stock Market Performance in Nigeria

Ferdinand. I. Odey, John Odey Owan, Julie Njarani Owan
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Abstract

This study examined financial indicators and stock market performance in Nigeria. The low performance of the stock market has been attributed to so many factors, ranging from financial, macroeconomic to political and institutional. Hence, the study examined the relationship between financial indicators and stock market performance, using the econometric analytical technique. Annual time series data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria and Nigerian Stock Exchange were employed. Stock market performance was measured by all-share index while financial indicators were represented by stock market profitability, liquidity and efficiency. The bound testing and Autoregressive Distributed Lag model estimation techniques were employed for the analysis. It was revealed that a long run relationship exists among the variables in the estimated model. A positive relationship exists between market profitability, liquidity, efficiency and stock market performance in Nigeria with coefficients of 58.98, 879.58 and5152.51, respectively. The implication of the findings is that market profitability, market liquidity and market efficiency have positive impact on stock market performance in Nigeria. Hence, the study recommends that; there is need for implementing policy such as good corporate governance that will maximize profit for investors in the market, make it attractive and hence deepen the Nigerian stock exchange market; the provision of windows for firms to raise cash through issuance of new shares, debentures, loans and deposits, when needed and enhance the ability of the firms to convert assets to cash to pay its current liabilities and its debt capacity;while a high trading volume should be maintained to enhance efficiency of the Nigerian capital market.
尼日利亚的财务指标和股票市场表现
本研究考察了尼日利亚的财务指标和股票市场表现。股市表现不佳的原因有很多,从金融、宏观经济到政治和制度。因此,本研究运用计量经济分析技术,检验财务指标与股市表现之间的关系。采用来自尼日利亚中央银行和尼日利亚证券交易所的年度时间序列数据。股票市场绩效以全股指数来衡量,财务指标以股票市场盈利能力、流动性和效率来衡量。采用边界检验和自回归分布滞后模型估计技术进行分析。结果表明,估计模型中各变量之间存在着长期的关系。尼日利亚市场盈利能力、流动性、效率与股票市场绩效呈正相关,系数分别为58.98、879.58和5152.51。研究结果表明,市场盈利能力、市场流动性和市场效率对尼日利亚股市表现有积极影响。因此,该研究建议;有必要实施良好的公司治理等政策,使市场投资者的利润最大化,使其具有吸引力,从而深化尼日利亚证券交易所市场;为公司提供窗口,在需要时通过发行新股,债券,贷款和存款筹集现金,增强公司将资产转换为现金以支付其流动负债和债务能力的能力;同时应保持高交易量,以提高尼日利亚资本市场的效率。
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