Optimal Fiscal Implications of Optimal Unconventional Monetary Policy

Mehrab Kiarsi
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Abstract

This paper studies the joint determination of optimal fiscal and unconventional and conventional monetary policy in a medium-scale macroeconomic model with financial intermediaries. An agency problem between borrowers and lenders makes financial frictions endogenous and makes banks facing endogenous balance sheet constraints. The main result is that taking active fiscal policy explicitly into account leads to significant changes in implications of central banks direct lending programs, which are considered to be “the most important dimension of their balance sheet activities”. In the calibrated exogenous-policy model the balance sheet constraints tighten and a negative financial shock results in a financial crisis. In this case, unconventional monetary policy is effective in ameliorating the crisis. We then endogenize fiscal and monetary instruments and solve for the optimal policy. We explicitly solve for the optimal fraction of private credit intermediation by the central bank. In the presence of credit market intervention the Ramsey planner calls for extremely large long-run labor income or consumption tax subsidy. This is because the government issues short-term riskless debt and buys long-term risky assets and obtains large revenues from its asset-purchase policies, due to the assumed imperfect financial markets and abnormal excess returns. Furthermore, the optimal dynamics of the model with credit policy intervention feature extremely volatile distortionary taxes and government liabilities, which act as shock absorbers of negative financial innovations. With active fiscal policy the Ramsey dynamics do not imply that the central bank direct lending policy is effective in offsetting large financial disturbances, even under credit scarcity.
最优非常规货币政策的最优财政含义
本文研究了在有金融中介的中等规模宏观经济模型中最优财政政策、非常规货币政策和常规货币政策的共同确定问题。借贷双方之间的代理问题使金融摩擦内生,使银行面临内生的资产负债表约束。主要结果是,明确考虑积极的财政政策会导致央行直接贷款计划的影响发生重大变化,这被认为是“其资产负债表活动中最重要的方面”。在经过校准的外生政策模型中,资产负债表约束收紧,负面金融冲击导致金融危机。在这种情况下,非常规货币政策在缓解危机方面是有效的。然后,我们将财政和货币工具内部化,求解最优政策。我们明确地求解了中央银行私人信贷中介的最优比例。在存在信贷市场干预的情况下,拉姆齐计划者呼吁对长期劳动收入或消费税进行极大的补贴。这是因为政府发行短期无风险债券,购买长期风险资产,并从其资产购买政策中获得巨额收入,这是由于假设金融市场不完善,收益异常超额。此外,在信贷政策干预下,模型的最优动态特征是极不稳定的扭曲税收和政府负债,它们充当负金融创新的减震器。对于积极的财政政策,拉姆齐动态并不意味着央行的直接贷款政策在抵消大规模金融动荡方面是有效的,即使在信贷稀缺的情况下也是如此。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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