In Praise of Pedantic Eclecticism: Pitfalls and Opportunities in the Psychology of Judging

Dan Simon
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

This Chapter was written for a collection of essays about the psychology of judging. The Chapter examines some methodological aspects related to experimentation of judging. In particular, it addresses the prevailing concern with external validity. Two central points will be made here. First, it is important to acknowledge that all types of validity are intricately intertwined. Attempting to fix one aspect of validity can be overwhelmed by greater compromises in other aspects. For example, a proposal by Fred Schauer to compare the performance of judges to lay people in complex judicial decision making tasks stands to suffer from low construct validity, thus leading to uninterpretable results. To maximize validity, one needs to be pedantic about the design of the entire study. At the same time, the concern with external validity should not be exaggerated. The discrepancy between the experimental environment and real world settings does not automatically bar all applications of findings from the former to the latter. It does, however, require a cautious application and oftentimes a lot of data. When experimental findings do meet the rigorous demands of external validity and context-attentiveness, they can be applied to real world domains, including specialized ones. This possibility opens up the field of judging to a range of methodological approaches and thus offers the benefit of insights originating from diverse scientific perspectives. To demonstrate the possibilities in this regard, the discussion will center on the application of a particular body of research - coherence based reasoning - to judging.
评迂腐折衷主义:判断心理学的陷阱与机遇
本章是为一本关于判断心理学的论文集而写的。本章探讨了与判断实验有关的一些方法论方面。特别是,它解决了普遍关注的外部有效性问题。这里将提出两个中心点。首先,重要的是要承认所有类型的有效性都是错综复杂地交织在一起的。试图修复有效性的一个方面可能会被其他方面的更大妥协所淹没。例如,Fred Schauer提出的比较法官和非专业人员在复杂司法决策任务中的表现的建议会受到低构念效度的影响,从而导致不可解释的结果。为了最大限度地提高有效性,人们需要对整个研究的设计进行研究。同时,对外部有效性的关注不应被夸大。实验环境和现实世界设置之间的差异并不会自动阻止从前者到后者的所有发现的应用。然而,它确实需要谨慎的应用程序,并且通常需要大量的数据。当实验结果确实满足外部效度和上下文注意性的严格要求时,它们可以应用于现实世界领域,包括专业领域。这种可能性为一系列方法论方法开辟了判断领域,从而提供了来自不同科学观点的见解的好处。为了证明在这方面的可能性,讨论将集中在一个特定的研究机构的应用-基于连贯性的推理-判断。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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