Realistic Expectations and Limitations to Consumer-Facing Robo-tic Advisors

D. Cotton, Neville R. Francis
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Abstract

We present a benchmark life-cycle simulation model (RFSM) that incorporates the financial, demographic, and mortality positions of retired households. By adjusting several features we nest a specific type of consumer-facing (generic) robo model that attempts to minimize the user's workload by imputing key inputs. We calibrate both models under robo policies using the Health and Retirement data for our benchmark model and robo-imputed data for the Generic-Robo model. Our findings indicate that retirees using Robo advisors tend to have large variances in consumption; overspending in a few years with sizeable shortfalls in a number of years. Our RFSM model, however, promotes smoother consumption profiles for retirees. Lastly, retirees using the Generic-Robo model experience more underfunded years and scenarios than those using our RFSM approach.
面向消费者的机器人顾问的现实期望和限制
我们提出了一个基准生命周期模拟模型(RFSM),该模型结合了退休家庭的财务、人口统计和死亡率状况。通过调整几个特征,我们嵌套了一个特定类型的面向消费者(通用)机器人模型,该模型试图通过输入关键输入来最小化用户的工作量。我们使用基准模型的健康和退休数据和通用-机器人模型的机器人输入数据,在机器人政策下校准这两个模型。我们的研究结果表明,使用机器人顾问的退休人员在消费方面往往存在较大差异;几年内超支,几年内出现相当大的赤字。然而,我们的RFSM模型促进了退休人员更平滑的消费概况。最后,与使用RFSM方法的退休人员相比,使用Generic-Robo模型的退休人员会经历更多资金不足的年份和情况。
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