An Intelligent Bankruptcy Prediction Model based on an Enhanced Sparrow Search Algorithm

A. Shehab, Mahmood E. Mahmood
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Abstract

Bankruptcy detection becomes one of the major subjects in finance. Indeed, for apparent reasons, several actors like shareholders or managers show more attention to the possibility of a firm’s bankruptcy. Subsequently, various researches are being conducted on the matter of bankruptcy prediction. Recently numerous research works have explored the application of machine learning (ML) techniques to bankruptcy prediction by having financial ratios as predictors. This article devises an Enhanced Sparrow Search Optimization with Deep Learning Enabled Bankruptcy Prediction (ESSODL-BP) model. The proposed ESSODL-BP technique involves the forecasting of the bankruptcy of a financial firm. To accomplish this, the ESSODL-BP technique primarily follows the Z-score normalization approach. Followed by, the bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM) model is designed to predict the bankruptcy status of a financial firm. Then, the ESSO algorithm is utilized for optimally tuning the hyperparameters related to the BLSTM model and also boosts the prediction performance to a maximum extent. The performance validation of the ESSODL-BP technique is tested using a benchmark dataset. The experimental outcomes reported better performance of the ESSODL-BP technique over other approaches.
基于增强型麻雀搜索算法的破产智能预测模型
破产检测已成为金融领域的重要课题之一。事实上,出于显而易见的原因,股东或经理等一些行为者对公司破产的可能性表现出了更多的关注。随后,对破产预测问题进行了各种各样的研究。最近,许多研究工作通过将财务比率作为预测指标,探索了机器学习(ML)技术在破产预测中的应用。本文设计了一种增强的麻雀搜索优化与深度学习支持破产预测(ESSODL-BP)模型。提出的essoll - bp技术涉及对一家金融公司破产的预测。为了实现这一点,essoll - bp技术主要遵循Z-score归一化方法。其次,设计了双向长短期记忆(BLSTM)模型来预测金融公司的破产状况。然后,利用ESSO算法对与BLSTM模型相关的超参数进行最优调优,最大程度地提高了预测性能。使用基准数据集对essoll - bp技术的性能验证进行了测试。实验结果表明,与其他方法相比,ESSODL-BP技术具有更好的性能。
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