Short-term power load forecasting based on GRU neural network optimized by an improved sparrow search algorithm

Xu Song, Qiutong Wu, Yinong Cai
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Abstract

Short-term power load forecasting is a very significant content in the operation and dispatch of power system, and it is a significant side to make certain the secure and economic operation of the power system and realize the scientific administration and dispatch of the power grid. By way of eliminating the matters of difficult parameter selection and insufficient forecasting accuracy in traditional forecasting methods, this paper use an improved sparrow search algorithm to optimize gated recurrent unit neural network. Firstly, Preprocess the raw load data.Secondly, use the processed data to train the model, and optimize model parameters with firefly sparrow search algorithm. Finally, carry out the power load forecast on the day to be forecasted, and comparative analysis with other two models, SSA-GRU and GRU , the results of the example indicate that the model established in this paper can advance the prognosis preciseness degree effectively and is effective in the application of short-term power load forecasting.
基于改进麻雀搜索算法优化GRU神经网络的短期电力负荷预测
电力短期负荷预测是电力系统运行调度中非常重要的内容,是保证电力系统安全经济运行,实现电网科学管理和调度的重要方面。针对传统预测方法参数选择困难、预测精度不足的问题,采用改进的麻雀搜索算法对门控循环单元神经网络进行优化。首先,对原始负载数据进行预处理。其次,利用处理后的数据对模型进行训练,并采用萤火虫麻雀搜索算法对模型参数进行优化。最后,对待预测当天的电力负荷进行预测,并与SSA-GRU和GRU两种模型进行对比分析,算例结果表明,本文所建立的模型能有效提高预测精度,在短期电力负荷预测中具有较好的应用效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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