Agent-based modelling application possibilities for Croatian electricity market simulation

2008 5th International Conference on the European Electricity Market Pub Date : 2008-05-28 DOI:10.1109/EEM.2008.4579056

K. Fekete, S. Nikolovski, D. Puzak, G. Slipac, H. Keko

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引用次数: 11

Abstract

Croatia is today in the first phase of restructuring and opening its electricity market. At this moment, electricity market is open to eligible customers only. Eligible customers are able to choose their supplier and currently these are all non-households. Starting from July 1st, 2008 all customers, including households, will become eligible and the market will hence be fully open. Therefore, a suitable method for Croatian market simulation is needed. This paper presents possibilities of using an agent-based model to simulate the Croatian electricity market. Agent-based models represent each market participant as an independent software agent. Each agent has its own strategy and decision-making process. Agents are able to learn and adapt to their environment. EMCAS (electricity market complex adaptive system) is a computer simulation program for agent-based simulation. This paper presents an EMCAS case representing mutual influences of market participants in the emerging Croatian market. Simulations and future developments are presented.

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克罗地亚电力市场模拟中基于agent的建模应用可能性

克罗地亚目前正处于改革和开放电力市场的第一阶段。现时，电力市场只向合资格的客户开放。符合条件的客户可以选择他们的供应商，目前这些都是非家庭。从2008年7月1日开始，包括家庭在内的所有客户都将符合资格，因此市场将全面开放。因此，需要一种适合克罗地亚市场模拟的方法。本文提出了使用基于主体的模型来模拟克罗地亚电力市场的可能性。基于代理的模型将每个市场参与者表示为一个独立的软件代理。每个代理都有自己的策略和决策过程。代理能够学习和适应他们的环境。EMCAS(电力市场复杂自适应系统)是一种基于智能体的计算机仿真程序。本文提出了一个EMCAS案例，代表了新兴克罗地亚市场中市场参与者的相互影响。给出了仿真和未来的发展。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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2008 5th International Conference on the European Electricity Market

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