Simplifying the Estimation of Violence Risk by Police Among Individuals Charged for Sexual Assault

Sandy Jung, Farron Wielinga
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The six items from the Static-2002R that form the Brief Assessment of Recidivism Risk–2002R (BARR-2002R) have demonstrated very good predictive accuracy for violent recidivism with postadjudicated individuals who have sexually offended. In light of the constrained resources in law enforcement, the BARR-2002R may be a valuable tool to evaluate risk for identifiable perpetrators of sexual assault. The present study investigates the utility of the BARR-2002R to predict future violence propensities of 293 individuals who have been charged for sexual assault. The BARR-2002R showed a large effect in its ability to predict future general and violent offending and was associated with increased frequency of reoffending, including violent reoffending. The BARR-2002R was associated with the imminence of any recidivism but not violent recidivism. The severity of future violent offending was not associated with BARR-2002R scores. Findings suggest that the BARR-2002R may have a place in policing to evaluate violence risk among individuals charged with sexual assault. Implications of risk evaluation in law enforcement are further discussed.
简化警察对性侵犯犯罪嫌疑人的暴力风险评估
从静态- 2002r中选出的6个项目构成了累犯风险简要评估(BARR-2002R),这6个项目对判决后有性侵犯的人的暴力累犯有很好的预测准确性。鉴于执法资源有限,BARR-2002R可能是评估可识别性侵犯肇事者风险的有价值的工具。本研究探讨了BARR-2002R在预测293名性侵犯案犯未来暴力倾向中的应用。BARR-2002R在预测未来的一般犯罪和暴力犯罪的能力上显示出很大的作用,并且与再犯罪的频率增加有关,包括暴力再犯罪。BARR-2002R与任何累犯的迫近性有关,但与暴力累犯无关。未来暴力犯罪的严重程度与BARR-2002R分数无关。研究结果表明,BARR-2002R可能在评估被控性侵犯的个人的暴力风险方面有一定的作用。进一步讨论了风险评估在执法中的意义。
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