Internet Coverage and the Temporal Dynamics of Protest

Nils B. Weidmann, E. Rød
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Abstract

The results Chapter 6 have shown that Internet technology suppresses the occurrence of protest, but how does the technology affect the persistence of protest once it has started? This chapter revisits theoretical arguments for how Internet technology can affect the continuation of protest by facilitating the spread of information about ongoing protest, but also about violent repression by the government. It presents empirical tests of how Internet connectivity relates to the persistence of anti-regime protest. The results show that while the technology lowers the chance that protest occurs in the first place, it makes the continuation of protest more likely once it has started. The chapter also uncovers important heterogeneity in the catalyzing effect of Internet technology: it fuels future protest only if the autocratic regime did not respond with violent repression to the previous instance of unrest. In other words, information about ongoing protest disseminated online can catalyze protest, but the government’s repressive response crucially mediates this effect.
互联网报道与抗议活动的时间动态
第 6 章的研究结果表明,互联网技术会抑制抗议活动的发生,但一旦抗议活动开始,互联网技术又会如何影响抗议活动的持续性呢?本章重温了互联网技术如何通过促进有关正在进行的抗议活动以及政府暴力镇压的信息传播来影响抗议活动持续进行的理论论点。本章对互联网连接与反政府抗议活动的持续性之间的关系进行了实证检验。结果表明,虽然互联网技术降低了抗议活动发生的几率,但却使抗议活动一旦开始就更有可能持续下去。本章还揭示了互联网技术催化作用的重要异质性:只有当专制政权没有对上一次骚乱进行暴力镇压时,互联网技术才会助长未来的抗议活动。换句话说,网上传播的关于正在进行的抗议活动的信息可以催化抗议活动,但政府的镇压反应对这种效应起着至关重要的中介作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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