The Impact of Fiscal Deficit on Inflation Rate - Empirical Evidence Case of Eurozone

Nexhat Kryeziu, Esat Durguti
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The purpose of this working paper is to investigate if determinants have an impact on inflation rate in Eurozone Countries by using times series data for 17 countries from year 1997 to 2017, in yearly basis in total 375 observations. The study used quantitative research approach and secondary data and is analyzed by using linear regression model measures: Inflation rate as a dependent variable, and five independent variables such us: GDP to growth rate, Deficit to GDP rate, Public debt to GDP rate, Government bond interest rate and Unemployment rate. Linear regression model was applied to investigate the impact of GDP to growth rate, deficit to the GDP rate, Public debt to the GDP rate, Government bond interest rate, and Unemployment rate to the dependent variable Inflation rate. From the Linear Regression Model coefficients for inflation rate as a dependent variable shows that three of five variables have a significance one with negative significance and two positive significance. The empirical result shows that the three of five ratios that we mentioned above have a strong influence on the Inflation rate.
财政赤字对通货膨胀率的影响——以欧元区为例
本工作论文的目的是通过使用从1997年到2017年的17个国家的时间序列数据,在总共375个观测值的年基础上,研究决定因素是否对欧元区国家的通货膨胀率产生影响。本研究采用定量研究方法和二手数据,采用线性回归模型方法进行分析:通货膨胀率作为因变量,GDP与增长率、赤字与GDP比率、公共债务与GDP比率、政府债券利率和失业率五个自变量。运用线性回归模型考察GDP对增长率、财政赤字对GDP率、公共债务对GDP率、国债利率、失业率对因变量通货膨胀率的影响。从线性回归模型中,通货膨胀率作为因变量的系数表明,五个变量中有三个具有显著性,一个具有负显著性,两个具有正显著性。实证结果表明,上述5个比率中的3个对通货膨胀率有较强的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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