Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on Improved BP Neural Network

Abstract

An improved BP Neural Network with additional momentum and adaptive learning is proposed in the paper to predict the growth rate of electricity consumption in China. Matlab7 is used as modeling tool to design the model. Current year GDP growth, electric power consumption growth and growth rate of secondary industry are taken as input variables while next year electric power consumption growth is predicted. The simulation results are compared with that of traditional BP Neural Network model, which show the feasibility of the model proposed in the paper.