Mathematical Modelling of Schistosomiasis Transmission Dynamics in Traditional Cattle Farmer Communities

Wahyudin Nur, Trisilowati, Agus Suryanto, W. M. Kusumawinahyu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this work, a deterministic mathematical model of schistosomiasis transmission dynamics is discussed. In rural areas, many people work as a cattle farmer. Cattle farmers in endemic areas are very susceptible to schistosoma worm infection. To study the dynamics of schistosomiasis spread in traditional cattle farmer communities, we develop a mathematical model by considering human, cattle, and snail population as well as parasite density in environment. The model is expressed as a system of first order differential equations. Firstly, we verify the non-negativity and boundedness of the solutions of the model. After determining the equilibrium points of the system, we determine the basic reproduction number. Linearization and Routh Hurwitz condition are used to analyze the local stability condition of the disease free equilibrium point. Center manifold theory is used to study the local stability condition of the endemic equilibrium point. We prove global stability condition of the disease free equilibrium point by formulating suitable Lyapunov function and using LaSalle invariance principle. Several numerical simulations are presented. Our results show that the farmer should keep the cattle, water, and food clean. In addition, the farmer should use molluscicide in their farm area and give schistosomiasis drug to the cattle, regularly.
传统养牛户社区血吸虫病传播动态的数学建模
在这项工作中,讨论了血吸虫病传播动力学的确定性数学模型。在农村地区,许多人都是养牛户。流行地区的养牛户非常容易受到血吸虫感染。为了研究传统养牛户社区血吸虫病的传播动态,我们建立了一个考虑人、牛、蜗牛种群以及环境中寄生虫密度的数学模型。该模型表示为一阶微分方程组。首先,我们验证了模型解的非负性和有界性。在确定了系统的平衡点后,确定了系统的基本再生数。利用线性化和Routh Hurwitz条件分析了无病平衡点的局部稳定条件。利用中心流形理论研究了地方性平衡点的局部稳定条件。通过构造合适的Lyapunov函数,利用LaSalle不变性原理证明了无病平衡点的全局稳定条件。给出了几个数值模拟。我们的研究结果表明,农民应该保持牛、水和食物的清洁。此外,农民应定期在其农场地区使用杀螺剂,并给牛服用血吸虫病药物。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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