Modelling the Coverage of Dipterocarp Trees in Central Visayas, Philippines

Adrian Jose Sabado, Geoffrey A. Solano, M. Nicolas, R. Batista-Navarro, Roselyn Gabud, V. Hilomen
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Abstract

With the rapid decline of dipterocarp coverage in the Philippines, efforts in restoration would benefit from having a suitability map that would indicate the suitable areas where different dipterocarp species could thrive. Another use of these maps would be for assessing whether particular locations should be considered as Protected Areas in which exploitation would be limited, if not completely prohibited. We obtained data from the Department of Environment and Natural Resources of the Philippines, which consists of dipterocarp-related information gathered over localities in the country's Central Visayas region. Six climate data parameters were then chosen and obtained from the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. We employed a maximum entropy-based niche modelling approach to generate a suitability map. The model that we produced obtained an area under the curve (AUC) score of 0.955 with minimum temperature being the variable with the highest contribution. The map produced indicates that dipterocarp trees are more likely to appear in the lower regions of Central Visayas.
菲律宾米沙鄢群岛中部龙脑树覆盖的模拟
随着菲律宾龙脑果覆盖率的迅速下降,如果能绘制出一幅适合不同龙脑果物种生长的适宜区域的适宜性地图,恢复工作将会受益。这些地图的另一个用途是评估某些地点是否应被视为保护区,即使不完全禁止开采,也应加以限制。我们从菲律宾环境和自然资源部获得数据,其中包括在该国中部米沙亚斯地区收集的与龙舌兰有关的信息。然后从菲律宾大气地球物理和天文服务管理局选择并获得了六个气候数据参数。我们采用了基于最大熵的生态位建模方法来生成适宜性图。该模型的曲线下面积(AUC)得分为0.955,其中最低温度是贡献最大的变量。绘制的地图表明,龙脑树更有可能出现在米沙亚斯中部的较低地区。
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